New Zealand’s shopper value index rose 2.7% yearly within the June 2025 quarter, marking the best inflation price in twelve months however coming in beneath market expectations, based on official information launched by Stats NZ.
The quarterly improve of 0.5% was additionally decrease than the 0.9% recorded within the earlier quarter, offering some aid for policymakers involved about persistent value pressures.
Key Takeaways
- Annual inflation reached 2.7%, up from 2.5% in Q1 however beneath economist forecasts of two.8-2.9%
- Quarterly CPI rose 0.5%, decelerating from the earlier quarter’s 0.9% improve
- Non-tradeable inflation slowed to three.7% yearly, the slowest tempo in 4 years, indicating moderating home value pressures
- Tradeable inflation remained subdued at 1.2% yearly, reflecting weak worldwide value circumstances
- Cultural companies drove quarterly positive factors, rising 9.5% primarily as a consequence of streaming service subscription will increase
- Petrol costs offered important offset, falling 8.0% yearly and contributing -69.1% to tradeable inflation
The most important contributor to annual inflation remained native authority charges and funds, which surged 12.2% and accounted for 13% of the general 2.7% annual improve. Nevertheless, this was partially offset by the substantial decline in petrol costs, which fell 8.0% yearly and helped comprise broader inflationary pressures.
Non-tradeable inflation, which displays home demand and provide circumstances, decelerated to three.7% yearly from larger ranges earlier within the cycle, marking the slowest tempo in 4 years.
Hyperlink to official New Zealand Q2 2025 CPI
Solely 55% of CPI parts recorded quarterly value will increase – the bottom proportion for the reason that COVID-19 lockdown interval in June 2020. Maybe extra considerably, 36% of parts declined in value, representing the most important proportion to file falls since 2014.
Market Reactions
New Zealand Greenback vs. Main Currencies: 5-min
Overlay of NZD vs. Main Currencies Chart by TradingView
The New Zealand greenback weakened throughout main forex pairs following the inflation launch. The Kiwi declined 0.25% towards the US greenback to roughly 59.45 cents, whereas exhibiting extra pronounced weak point towards the Japanese yen (-0.38%) and Canadian greenback (-0.29%).
The market response suggests merchants view the softer-than-expected quarterly studying as offering the central financial institution with further room to chop the Official Money Fee from its present 3.25% stage. The central financial institution has beforehand indicated its willingness to ease coverage settings if medium-term inflation pressures proceed to reasonable as projected.
