Bitcoin has bounced again above $112,000 after slipping to $107,000 final week, its lowest mark since July. The rebound has stirred hope amongst merchants, however analysts stay cut up on whether or not the present upswing can maintain by means of September.
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September’s Observe File Beneath Scrutiny
Historic information exhibits September hasn’t been form to Bitcoin throughout post-halving years. In 2017, the coin ended the month with an in depth to eight% loss, whereas in 2021 the decline was 7%.
Even additional again, in 2013, Bitcoin dropped 1.60% in the identical month. That sample has led some consultants to argue {that a} retest of key technical ranges this yr is nothing uncommon.
Benjamin Cowen, head of ITC Crypto, has repeatedly pointed to the 20-week easy shifting common as a marker.
In response to him, September tends to deliver worth dips towards that stage earlier than a fourth-quarter restoration takes maintain. Cowen believes the current pullback suits the broader rhythm seen in earlier cycles.
Traditionally, #Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving yr, after which bounces off of it into the market cycle high that happens in This autumn. pic.twitter.com/CVbcPOUojM
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) September 3, 2025
Combined Views On Cycle Consistency
Not everyone seems to be satisfied. Some analysts have raised questions on whether or not the cycle is breaking from custom. They highlighted that Bitcoin usually data beneficial properties in August earlier than falling again in September. This time, nevertheless, the alternative occurred.
Bitcoin closed August with a 6.25% loss. That stands in stark distinction to August 2017, when the coin surged 64%, and August 2021, when it gained 15%.
These two sturdy months had been every adopted by abrupt September declines. Analysts imagine that present information point out a distinct configuration may very well be at work, with macroeconomic parameters corresponding to fee cuts being extra pronounced over worth motion.
Calls That The Backside Is Already In
Regardless of the cautious tone from some analysts, there are voices pointing to a brighter near-term outlook, saying the low for September might already be behind Bitcoin.
The asset opened the month at $108,200, touched a excessive of $110,100, and fell to $107,000 earlier than rebounding. Based mostly on that sequence, analysts counsel the market might keep away from setting new lows this month.
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Cowen, nevertheless, continues to emphasize that corrections after setting contemporary highs are a part of the cycle. He factors to August’s new file peak as proof that the market is following the identical blueprint as earlier years.
In his view, the retreat to the 20-week SMA is much less a warning signal than a setup for a powerful year-end rally.
Whereas the controversy over September’s end result continues, most analysts agree on one level: short-term turbulence is unlikely to change the long-term image.
Latest information have made clear that regardless of non permanent dips, Bitcoin is anticipated to commerce far increased within the years forward.
Featured picture from Meta, chart from TradingView
