Each time there’s a point out of dividends, the primary title that pops up in each Canadian’s thoughts is Enbridge (TSX:ENB). The pipeline firm earned this standing from its 60-plus years of dividend-paying historical past and a 30-year dividend progress historical past.
However is Enbridge a purchase proper now
Enbridge has elevated its debt to 4.8 instances Earnings Earlier than Curiosity, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA). The larger leverage ratio is due to main acquisitions, which elevated income but in addition prices. The purchases have slowed its dividend progress price to three% because it focuses on decreasing leverage and transitioning to gasoline pipelines. It expects to speed up the dividend progress price to five% after 2026.
The acquisitions have elevated Enbridge’s share value vary from $40–$60 to $60–$70, decreasing its dividend yield to five.5%. Those that invested in it at round a $45–$50 share value will proceed to take pleasure in the next yield of over 7.5%. It’s a inventory to carry for its dividend yield. Nonetheless, it might not be essentially the most engaging dividend inventory to purchase on the present value level of $68.25, simply 3% under its 52-week excessive.
Canada is trying to faucet new export markets amidst tense commerce relations with the US. The market has already priced within the pure gasoline export alternative, leaving little upside for Enbridge’s share value. Nonetheless, there’s a danger of draw back if tariffs are extended.
The 5.5% yield, sluggish dividend progress, excessive leverage, and restricted share value upside make Enbridge much less engaging proper now.
A dividend large to purchase over Enbridge
A greater vitality inventory various to Enbridge within the present market is Canadian Pure Sources (TSX:CNQ). Analysts stay bullish on Canadian Pure Sources, citing its sturdy capital allocation technique as a key driver of potential upside. The corporate has operational self-discipline, sturdy execution, and capital allocation transparency.
CNQ incorporates the dividend quantity into its breakeven value, which is mid-$40/barrel on WTI. This price benefit, mixed with common share buybacks, helps it develop dividends between 2% and 56%.
What determines the dividend progress quantity?
CNQ’s free money circulate allocation coverage. If its web debt is above $15 billion, 60% of the free money circulate (FCF) is returned to shareholders by way of dividends and share buybacks. The corporate’s debt elevated to over $17 billion in 2025 because it acquired extra low-depleting reserves and elevated manufacturing. Elevated manufacturing led to larger FCF, offering room for dividend progress.
Whereas the capital allocation mannequin seems strong, success lies in execution, and CNQ has executed properly. Regardless that oil and gasoline costs are anticipated to chill, CNQ is properly positioned to develop dividends by way of sturdy double-digit progress within the coming years. The one time its dividend progress price slowed to low to mid-single digits was within the 2015 oil disaster and the 2009 Nice Monetary Disaster. This reveals its resilience to market crises.
Why is Canadian Pure Sources higher than Enbridge within the present market?
In contrast to Enbridge, which is certain by capital-intensive pipeline infrastructure, Canadian Pure Sources has extra flexibility when it comes to manufacturing and distribution. CNQ can promote oil and gasoline to anybody on the earth at aggressive charges. Enbridge, then again, solely caters to North America, investing billions of {dollars} in constructing pipelines to transmit oil and gasoline effectively. The dearth of flexibility makes it much less engaging at excessive valuations.
Whereas each shares are basically sturdy and provides over a 5% yield, CNQ is a greater purchase for its larger dividend progress price. To place it in absolute numbers, a $10,000 funding in every will purchase you 218 shares of CNQ and 146 shares of Enbridge. Contemplating a ten% dividend progress price for CNQ and three% in 2026 and 5% in 2027 for Enbridge, the previous will begin giving larger dividends from 2027 onwards.
| 12 months | CNQ Dividend at 1% CAGR | Dividend on 218 CNQ shares | ENB Dividend at 3% and 5% progress price | Dividend on 146 ENB shares |
| 2025 | $2.350 | $512.300 | $3.770 | $550.420 |
| 2026 | $2.585 | $563.530 | $3.883 | $566.933 |
| 2027 | $2.844 | $619.883 | $4.077 | $595.279 |
